To the big question that concerns everyone, that is, when his pandemic is expected to “end” corona, is trying to answer the University of Technology of Singapore.
According to research published, the model proposed by the scientists of this institution, mentions three consecutive dates showing the evolution of the virus pandemic from the point of occurrence of the cases to the recording of 97%, 99% and 100 % respectively of new cases of virus infection in each country.
According to scientists from the University of Technology in Singapore, developments can be changed by unbalanced factors each time.
The methodology they use includes the measures taken by governments, the acceptance of citizens in isolation measures, as well as the geographical peculiarities, thus outlining the pattern that the pandemic will follow in each country.
“The evolution of COVID-19 is not entirely coincidental. Like other pandemics, it follows a specific pattern, from the first cases and the exacerbation of the pandemic to the turning point, the reduction of cases and the end of the pandemic, “say scientists from Singapore.
However, as the research of this university emphasizes, the pandemic life cycles vary according to the countries and there may be different patterns in a specific time frame. For example, on April 21, the Singaporean government announced the extension of the citizens’ restraint measures, while on the same day Italy announced a plan to gradually restart the economy from May 4.
Of course, scientists point out that due to the evolving nature of the pandemic and possible different political approaches from some governments, the pandemic curve, the turning point and the expiration dates will be constantly reassessed.
What do the numbers say?
According to their analysis, the turning point for the pandemic across the globe as a whole was April 11, while on March 30, 97% of cases were recorded and therefore, based on their models, 99% will be recorded on June 17. and the end of the pandemic is expected on December 9, 2020.
What about Greece?
Regarding Greece, researchers from Singapore estimate that the turning point was March 30, 97% of cases will be recorded on May 9. 99% will be recorded on May 25, while the end of the pandemic for our country is estimated on July 13.
In the rest of Europe, researchers estimate that the end of the pandemic is expected on August 25 for Italy, August 1 for Germany, August 5 for France, August 7 for Spain, July 27 for Belgium and August 8. September for the Netherlands.
The end of the pandemic in the United States of America is estimated on August 27, for Russia on July 20, while they estimate that the pandemic has already ended for China.
See the table and the entire University survey: