The end of quarantine brings to the fore the pessimism of the citizens for the next day in the economy and their pockets and together with this pessimism the first signs of deterioration for the ND government appear.
At the same time, however, it seems that both the big difference between ND and SYRIZA and the fact that the image of electoral and political fixation has become timeless at low rates for the official opposition and for the opposition parties, in general, are consolidating.
Pessimism, wear and tear
The poll conducted by the Metron Analysis Forum for Mega’s Central News Bulletin with Dora Anagnostopoulou leaves no doubt about these trends.
In essence, the pessimism of the citizens for the next day of the pandemic shows that at the political level what is born is decay and stagnation. There is no political alternative to the government.
ND shows a slight but clear decline, despite the fact that the percentages it collects are extremely high. However in comparison with April ND, in May, receives 40.3% against 42.5%, ie it has lost about 2.2 points.
It is noteworthy, however, that SYRIZA is also recording losses in relation to the same measurements, although smaller than ND, in any case, the difference of about 20 points that remains with ND, at the moment seems irreversible as a trend.
The other parties in parliament, especially KINAL, are also at very low levels, in fact, in a state of complete stagnation, which shows that it cannot detach the levels of the percentages of about 5%.
More specifically, SYRIZA is at 20.9% compared to 21.4% in April, ie it loses only 0.5 points.
In third place with a rate of 5.1% (from 5% in April) is KINAL, which cannot make a profit from the losses of the two major parties.
It is followed by the KKE with 4.6% (from 4.7%), the Greek Solution with 2.6% from 2.9%. Below 3% is DAY 25 to 2.5% (from 3.2%) and finally, the Golden Dawn is at 1.6%. The unspecified vote is at 7.9%, while 7.2% of respondents will not vote.
It is no coincidence that so many murmurs in SYRIZA about his opposition are ongoing, as well as the non-existent press conferences within KINAL about the political stigma of Charilaou Trikoupi and of course about the collaborations and whether it is closer to ND and of Kyriakos Mitsotakis or Alexis Tsipras and SYRIZA.
It is also no coincidence that both SYRIZA as well as KINAL they seem to be afraid of the elections and are in a crisis of introversion in search of gait.
The big problems
The messages that citizens send to everyone are multiple. What is interesting is the fact that in this phase we are going through, the fear of the health crisis has subsided and what prevails is that the economy is considered to be the most important problem for the citizens and ten units more than in April. was at 31%, now reaching 41%.
That is, almost half. On the contrary, the issue of health has declined sharply and is considered significant by 20% compared to 40% a month ago. There is virtually no pandemic in people’s minds as they experienced during the quarantine period.
On the contrary, the number one problem is the pocket, the income and the work for the average person. It is no coincidence that in addition to the economy, which is currently considered a number one problem, unemployment is also a major issue at 14% compared to just 9% last April.
Very low rates of only 7% make refugee / immigration the biggest problem.
It is now clear that the agenda has essentially changed in the minds of the people, and based on this, both the parties and their proposals are being judged. And this is exactly the point that is being debated by all party staffs.
How convincing are the answers they give or the government with the Gefyra bridge plan, or SYRIZA with Menoume Orthioi, or KINAL with the New Change and of course the other parties with their own proposals.
Overall, however, the messages about the political system do not seem particularly encouraging as citizens leave their homes and try to adapt to the “new normality” and the “new reality”.
It is no coincidence that the government is getting a very low job, among other things. The first contradiction is that the other parties that have opposed the government’s policies in the labor market cannot reap any benefits at all.
Negative view of the EU
Citizens’ views on the European Union remain negative. Specifically, 53% have a negative view, compared to 40% a positive one.
However, it is worth noting that the investigation was carried out before the Commission announced a proposal for a 750 billion euro mammoth package.
In this sense, we cannot know how it affects the psychology of citizens in the first place and their political behavior in the second place.
The course of the country
An interesting point is that when asked if the country is moving in the right or wrong direction, 64% say it is right (from 76% in April) while 25% say it is in the wrong direction (16% in April).
In other words, two out of three respond that the country is moving in the right direction, despite the fact that there is a decline here as well.
In any case, this indicator seems to explain in large part why the government has some losses, but in essence it remains the dominant political force and Kyriakos Mitsotakis is the dominant political player at the moment against his opponents.
The economic confidence index, ie the average of the balance of the assessment of the current economic situation of the country (positive-negative) and the balance of the forecast for the economy (will improve-will worsen) is -38. It is worth noting that last September it had reached 14 while the worst was in February 2016, at -81.
Regarding the evaluation of the first two parties, 6 out of 10 (63%) express a positive opinion on the government’s work and 30% a negative one.
The Prime Minister receives 68% positive and 26% negative opinions.
SYRIZA has a problem
For SYRIZA, things are more difficult. Only 21% have a positive impression while 7 in 10 (69%) have a negative impression. In fact, this percentage rises from 61% a month ago.
The citizens’ image of Alexis Tsipras is worse. 65% negatively evaluate the way in which the leader of the official opposition has been performing his duties so far. A month ago, the negative opinion was at 56%.
25% have a positive opinion, ie one in 4 out of 33% in April.
Political confidence is low, at 4.3 out of 4.6 in the previous survey, while social confidence is at 5.9 out of 6.
And let’s go to the elementary schools of political leaders. Kyriakos Mitsotakis receives 67% of the positive opinions while he also has 32% of negative opinions. We have an increase in negative feedback points compared to April.
The second most popular leader is Fofi Gennimata with 40% positive opinions and 56% negative ones. In the previous survey, the percentages were 44% and 54% respectively.
Alexis Tsipras has 38% positive (42% in April) and 61% negative opinions (from 57%).
It is followed by Dimitris Koutsoumbas with 32% positive opinions, 60% negative, Giannis Varoufakis with 23% positive and 75% negative and Kyriakos Velopoulos with 20% positive and 74% negative.
In the suitability for prime minister, K. Mitsotakis is at 52% constant, Al. Tsipras at 17%.
In general, the political conclusions of the survey are that citizens seem tired of the lockdown, the fear of a pandemic and the concern for the next day. This anger and fear is shown by the retreat of the acceptance of the parties and politicians of the front line.
Although ND seems powerful, it has begun to have “leaks” in its forces. On the other hand, SYRIZA is not convinced, it cannot pass its message, that it has changed, that it can retake power while the smaller parties are shooting at low levels.
We must also pay attention to the opinion of the citizens about the scenarios for early elections. The overwhelming 84% say no while only 13% are in favor. By age 65, they say no to 93%, which is the highest rate, and those who recommend ballots should be aware of this.
SEE HERE THE WHOLE RESEARCH HERE